Delhi Exit Poll: BJP set for a big capital comeback, AAP misses hat-trick, says poll of polls

Delhi Exit Poll: Most exit polls predict a significant victory for the BJP in the Delhi elections, the AAP rejects the results, and the Congress remains silent. Will the BJP break its long drought and reclaim power in Delhi? The countdown to the official results begins.

Gulam Jeelani
Updated5 Feb 2025, 08:53 PM IST
Delhi Exit Poll: A supporter of Bharatiya Janata party, or BJP, wears a mask of Indian prime minister Narendra Modi and shouts slogans during Delhi state election campaign rally in New Delhi, India, Friday, Jan. 31, 2025. (AP Photo)
Delhi Exit Poll: A supporter of Bharatiya Janata party, or BJP, wears a mask of Indian prime minister Narendra Modi and shouts slogans during Delhi state election campaign rally in New Delhi, India, Friday, Jan. 31, 2025. (AP Photo)(AP)

Delhi Exit Poll: At least six exit polls released so far have predicted a clean sweep for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) ending the eleven-year rule of Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in the Delhi Election 2025 held on February 5.

Remember, exit polls have often proven incorrect, and the actual results will come after the votes are counted on Saturday, February 8.

Also Read | AAP’s rule to end in Delhi? Most pollsters predict BJP’s return after 27 years

The pollsters have given 35-60 seats to the saffron party and 32-37 seats to the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which has been in power in the national capital for the past 11 years. The majority mark in Delhi's 70-member assembly is 36. 

Delhi Exit Poll: The pollsters have given 35-60 seats to the saffron party and 32-37 seats to the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which has been in power in the national capital for the past 11 years.

Exit poll results came soon after the polling was held for 70 seats of Delhi assembly on Februay 5 with about 60 per cent voter turnout. The elections came after a weeks-long high-octane campaign by the three major political parties – the AAP, the BJP and the Congress. 

Exit polls have predicted about drubbing for the Congress in the national capital.

AAP rejects exit polls

The AAP rejected the exit poll results, while the Congress, which seemingly continues its abysmal show in the capital, decided not to participate in exit poll debates on TV.

Exit polls, including Peoples Pulse, JVC Poll, People's Insight and Chanakya Strategies, predicted a comfortable win for the BJP in Delhi. The Matrize Exit Poll predicted a hung assembly in Delhi. Only three exit polls predicted a landslide victory for Arvind Kejriwal's AAP. They are Mind Blink, ICPL and Wee Preside.

Majority for BJP: P Marq

The P-Marq exit poll has predicted a majority for the BJP. The agency has given 39-49 seats to the BJP, 21-31 seats to the AAP and 0-1 seat to the Congress. Peoples Pulse also predicts a majority for the BJP. The agency has predicted 51-60 seats for the BJP and 10-19 seats for the AAP.

Also Read | Delhi Exit Poll Results: BJP hails ’homecoming’ as AAP holds onto hope

If the exit poll results hold true, the BJP will come to power in Delhi after a drought of 27 years. The saffron party's last chief minister in Delhi was late Sushma Swaraj in 1998 before Congress government came to power under Sheila Dikshit. The Congress was in power in Delhi until 2013.

In the 2020 assembly election AAP won 62 seats while the BJP got 8. In 2015 elections, the AAP won 67 seats while the BJP won 3 seats.  

As many as 1.5 crore residents of Delhi were eligible to vote in the Delhi Election, with 699 candidates in the fray to become a Member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA). Voting was held across 13,766 polling stations on Wednesday in what is being seen as the most closely fought assembly elections in years. Delhi recorded about 58 per cent turnout, as per the Election Commission of India. 

The BJP will come to power in Delhi after a drought of 27 years.
Exit polls have often proven incorrect, and the actual results will come after the votes are counted.

Arvind Kejriwal's AAP fought to retain power for the third consecutive term, while the BJP sought a return to power after 27 years. The Congress, which ruled Delhi for 15 years,  contested to reclaim its lost grip over the Delhi assembly.

Key Takeaways
  • The BJP is predicted to make a strong comeback in Delhi, ending a long period out of power.
  • The AAP’s rejection of exit polls highlights the contentious nature of electoral forecasts.
  • The Congress’s lack of participation in exit poll debates indicates its diminishing influence in Delhi politics.

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First Published:5 Feb 2025, 07:51 PM IST